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🏈 NFL
Xavier Smith

Xavier Smith Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

WR · 5' 9" · 180 lbs · age 29 · Florida A&M · 3 yr vet
San Francisco 49ers checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Xavier SmithRead it ▾Xavier Smith has gone over his number in 0 of his last 8 settled props on this board.6 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Xavier Smith of the San Francisco 49ers (WR · 5' 9" · 180 lbs · age 29) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Xavier Smith has gone over his number in 0 of his last 8 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 71 out of 100 — good spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 28.91 reception yds, moved from a base of 24.35 by vs ATL pass D #29 (+9.7%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

We project 0.2 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.19 by vs ATL red-zone D #15 (-1.2%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at ATL.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Xavier Smith of the San Francisco 49ers — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Xavier Smith — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT ATL
71
Matchup Grade · Good spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds28.91from 24.35 · 12 games
vs ATL pass D #29 +9.7%on the road -2%turf6 days restdome +2%implied 26.4 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +8.3%the machine · 2 gradedhis over rate L10 0% at 14.5 (1 graded)
Anytime Td0.2from 0.19 · 12 games
vs ATL red-zone D #15 -1.2%on the road -2%turf6 days restdomeimplied 26.4 pts (house engine, nfl-v3) +8.3%the machine · 2 graded
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Xavier Smith · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 2 0%0%0%0%
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 2 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Xavier Smith — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 0/8 overs (0%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-21
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-21
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-09-21
UNDER
final: 0
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-09-21
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-21
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
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Xavier Smith — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

Xavier Smith saw 24 targets and caught 18 (75%) for 303 yards and 0 touchdowns. 35.3% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left4250%870
Deep middle22100%840
Deep right300%00
Short left8787.5%620
Short middle22100%150
Short right55100%550

Snap counts

Xavier Smith played 280 offensive snaps across 19 games in 2025 — 14.7 per game, 21.4% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.