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🏈 NFL
Ollie Gordon II

Ollie Gordon II Player Props & DFS Value

RB · 6' 2" · 225 lbs · age 22 · Oklahoma State · 2 yr vet
Miami Dolphins checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Ollie Gordon IIRead it ▾Ollie Gordon II has gone over his number in 6 of his last 17 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Ollie Gordon II of the Miami Dolphins (RB · 6' 2" · 225 lbs · age 22) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Ollie Gordon II has gone over his number in 6 of his last 17 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 58 out of 100 — even spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 49.45 rush yds, moved from a base of 51.66 by vs NYJ run D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NYJ.

We project 0.38 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.4 by vs NYJ run D #23 (+5%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NYJ.

We project 18.94 reception yds, moved from a base of 22.81 by vs NYJ pass D #5 (-8.9%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NYJ.

We project 0.37 total tds, moved from a base of 0.44 by vs NYJ red-zone D #8 (-6.6%), on the road (-2%), turf, on the road at NYJ.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Ollie Gordon II of the Miami Dolphins — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Ollie Gordon II — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT NYJ
58
Matchup Grade · Even spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds49.45from 51.66 · 4 games
vs NYJ run D #23 +5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 17.2 pts (house engine, v2) -10%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%his over rate L10 67% at 43.5 (3 graded)
Rush Tds0.38from 0.4 · 4 games
vs NYJ run D #23 +5%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 17.2 pts (house engine, v2) -10%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
Reception Yds18.94from 22.81 · 4 games
vs NYJ pass D #5 -8.9%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 17.2 pts (house engine, v2) -10%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%his over rate L10 0% at 14.5 (1 graded)
Total Tds0.37from 0.44 · 4 games
vs NYJ red-zone D #8 -6.6%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 17.2 pts (house engine, v2) -10%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
Anytime Td0.31from 0.36 · 4 games
vs NYJ red-zone D #8 -6.6%on the road -2%turfextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 17.2 pts (house engine, v2) -10%the machine · 4 graded +0.3%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Ollie Gordon II · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 4 75%75%75%75%
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Rushing Yards 3 67%67%67%67% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 1 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Ollie Gordon II — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 6/17 overs (35%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 1
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 88
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 1
player_receptions · line 0.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 2
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 1
rushing_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 100
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-27
UNDER
final: 1
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Ollie Gordon II — 2026 GAME LOG · 4 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W27000
W3411314
W4100120
W588100
Total2363514
Per game590.81.33.5
Median64.5110
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 8 vs NE · Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM ET
What NE gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1282.17rush yds/g to RBs
#170.67rush TD/g to RBs
#194.5catches/g to RBs
#2739.33rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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