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🏈 NFL
Chase Brown

Chase Brown Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#30 · RB · 5' 10" · 210 lbs · age 26 · Illinois · 4 yr vet
Cincinnati Bengals checking status… ⚖️ Compare
🎯 Line Checker 🏆 NFL Leaders 🎯 This Week's Matchups 💰 Player Props
✦AI BriefLive read on Chase BrownRead it ▾Chase Brown has gone over his number in 7 of his last 24 settled props on this board.8 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Chase Brown of the Cincinnati Bengals (#30 · RB · 5' 10" · 210 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Chase Brown has gone over his number in 7 of his last 24 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 44 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 42.88 rush yds, moved from a base of 44.15 by vs BAL run D #11 (-4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at BAL.

We project 0.2 rush tds, moved from a base of 0.2 by vs BAL run D #11 (-4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at BAL.

We project 3.97 receptions, moved from a base of 4.09 by vs BAL pass D #11 (-4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at BAL.

We project 31.45 reception yds, moved from a base of 32.38 by vs BAL pass D #11 (-4.3%), on the road (-2%), grass, on the road at BAL.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Chase Brown of the Cincinnati Bengals — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Chase Brown — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · AT BAL
44
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Rush Yds42.88from 44.15 · 5 games
vs BAL run D #11 -4.3%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%his over rate L10 25% at 92 (4 graded)
Rush Tds0.2from 0.2 · 5 games
vs BAL run D #11 -4.3%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%
Receptions3.97from 4.09 · 5 games
vs BAL pass D #11 -4.3%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%his over rate L10 100% at 1.5 (4 graded)
Reception Yds31.45from 32.38 · 5 games
vs BAL pass D #11 -4.3%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%his over rate L10 50% at 17.3 (4 graded)
Total Tds0.23from 0.24 · 5 games
vs BAL red-zone D #9 -5.8%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%
Anytime Td0.25from 0.26 · 5 games
vs BAL red-zone D #9 -5.8%on the road -2%grassextra rest · 14 days +3%clear at kickoffimplied 22.3 pts (house engine, v2) -0.4%the machine · 4 graded +0.9%
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Chase Brown · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Rushing Yards 4 25%25%25%25%
Last Touchdown Scorer 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receiving Yards 4 50%50%50%50% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Receptions 4 100%100%100%100% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 4 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Chase Brown — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 7/24 overs (29%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 3
player_receiving_yards · line 20.5
2026-10-11
OVER
final: 21
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-11
UNDER
final: 39
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
player_receptions · line 1.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 11
player_receiving_yards · line 14.5
2026-10-04
OVER
final: 71
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 0
rushing_yards · line 109.5
2026-10-04
UNDER
final: 10
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
🏈 Chase Brown — 2026 GAME LOG · 5 GAMES · RB
Every regular-season week. Green is above his season median, red below — the same line the hit board rates him against until the books post a number.
WkRush ydsRush TDRecRec yds
W1561522
W280032
W361028
W41001171
W5390321
Total246124124
Per game49.20.24.824.8
Median560321
🔬 NEXT UP · WEEK 7 @ BAL · Sun Oct 25 · 1:00 PM ET
What BAL gave up to RBs in 2026, rank of 32 — green is a soft spot, red is a wall.
#1180.17rush yds/g to RBs
#250.83rush TD/g to RBs
#154.17catches/g to RBs
#113.83rec yds/g to RBs
The full matchup room → 🎯 Our call on this game → 🎯 How often does he cover a line? →
Rolls forward every Tuesday once the 2026 season is under way.
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RUSHINGGCarYds/GYPCTD
GRASS1718747.44.36
TURF2937754.84.28
RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
GRASS17554816.487%3
TURF2913811026.080%7
+16% rushing yards/game on turf vs grass
+58% receiving yards/game on turf vs grass
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Chase Brown — 2026 Zone Breakdown

Run gaps

Chase Brown carried 71 times for 246 yards (3.46 per carry) and 1 touchdowns, with a 36.6% success rate.

GapCarriesYardsAvgTD
Left end4102.50
Left tackle8202.50
Left guard15563.730
Up the middle24903.751
Right guard10444.40
Right tackle430.750
Right end6233.830

Target zones

Chase Brown saw 28 targets and caught 24 (85.7%) for 124 yards and 0 touchdowns. 110.5% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Short left12866.7%300
Short middle44100%290
Short right1212100%650

Snap counts

Chase Brown played 227 offensive snaps across 5 games in 2026 — 45.4 per game, 70.2% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2026 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.