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🏈 NFL
Arian Smith

Arian Smith Stats, Zones, Props & DFS

#82 · WR · 6' 0" · 179 lbs · age 25 · Georgia · 2 yr vet
New York Jets checking status… ⚖️ Compare
✦AI BriefLive read on Arian SmithRead it ▾Arian Smith has gone over his number in 0 of his last 3 settled props on this board.6 notes · the numbers, the matchup and the wire

Arian Smith of the New York Jets (#82 · WR · 6' 0" · 179 lbs) has a page here because every man on a roster does: his game log, the props the books post on him, how often he has beaten those numbers, and our own projection when there is a line to project against.

Arian Smith has gone over his number in 0 of his last 3 settled props on this board.

Tonight's spot grades 37 out of 100 — tough spot — from his own line, the side he faces, the park and the travel.

We project 15.4 reception yds, moved from a base of 16.09 by vs MIA pass D #12 (-3.5%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against MIA.

We project 0.19 anytime td, moved from a base of 0.19 by vs MIA red-zone D #19 (+1.9%), turf, 7 days rest, at home against MIA.

Everything on this page is graded after the final. Every projection is written down before the game and marked after it, and the running record lives on our results page.

The full board for his league is here. Headlines are summarised with their source; the full stories stay with the outlets that wrote them.

Finding the next game…

This is the live market page for Arian Smith of the New York Jets — every posted player prop with the house price on every line, tonight's best bet, live DraftKings salary and value, a market-graded start/sit verdict, price heat, and the latest news. Updated throughout the day. All math vig-included.

📐 Arian Smith — TONIGHT’S PROJECTION · VS MIA
37
Matchup Grade · Tough spotHow good tonight’s spot is for him, out of 100 — the defense he faces, the game the number expects, the surface, the rest and the weather.
Reception Yds15.4from 16.09 · 12 games
vs MIA pass D #12 -3.5%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -0.8%the machine · 1 graded
Anytime Td0.19from 0.19 · 12 games
vs MIA red-zone D #19 +1.9%turf7 days restclear at kickoffimplied 22.1 pts (house engine, v2) -0.8%the machine · 1 graded
The number is his last ten moved by the matchup — the factors above are why. Every prop on tonight’s board with the consensus price and the edge: The Projection Board →
📊 Arian Smith · SPLITS · HIT RATE BY WINDOW
Market · overL5L10L20Season
Last Touchdown Scorer 1 0%0%0%0%
To Score 2 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
To Score 3 Plus Touchdowns 1 0%0%0%0% 🔒 Velvet · every market
Over rate on our own graded board, newest window first. Every player, every window, on the Splits board.

🎯 Tonight, and every market on him

Reading the board…
📊 Arian Smith — RECENT GRADED PROPS · 0/3 overs (0%)
to_score_3_plus_touchdowns · line 2.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
to_score_2_plus_touchdowns · line 1.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
last_touchdown_scorer · line 0.5
2026-09-20
UNDER
final: 0
Graded off our own board · see the full ledger →
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🏆 DFS

Pulling live DK salary…

⚖️ Start / Sit

Grading the market…

🌱 Turf vs Grass, by what he does

RECEIVINGGTgtRecYds/GCatch%TD
TURF81156.345%0
thin sample on one surface
Every play bucketed by surface · search any player →

🛠️ Run him through the machines

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Arian Smith — 2025 Zone Breakdown

Target zones

Arian Smith saw 16 targets and caught 7 (43.8%) for 52 yards and 0 touchdowns. 63.5% of those yards came after the catch.

ZoneTargetsCatchesCatch %YardsTD
Deep left4125%230
Deep right300%00
Short left2150%00
Short middle200%00
Short right55100%290

Snap counts

Arian Smith played 376 offensive snaps across 16 games in 2025 — 23.5 per game, 38.3% of his team's offensive snaps.

From play-by-play and snap counts, 2025 season. A player who has changed teams since is charted in his previous offense.